Sunday, January 5, 2014

Looking Back...NFL Season Predictions

A few weeks into the NFL season, I was sitting with my friend and fellow comedian Dylan Shelton at a show, and Dylan said something along the lines of, "Your NFL predictions sucked." He was right. Just a few weeks into the year, and it was already pretty obvious I was headed for a bad season based off my September 5 predictions post. It makes me feel slightly better than many prognosticators and bettors haven't had a great year dealing with the NFL. Bill Simmons's regular weekly picks columns have covered his own personal demise this season. But, it still seems worth it to look back on what went horribly wrong.

AFC East

This isn't impressive. It's pretty easy for anyone to pick New England to win the division, and that's what happened. The records I predicted were all off with the New York Jets actually doing far better than expected and possibly having the chance to be a playoff team had they had any consistency at the quarterback position. I did predict that the Miami Dolphins would not make the playoffs, but had them at 7-9 and not even in the hunt rather than them fizzling out in the final weeks of the season when controlling their own destiny.

AFC North

I had three teams from this division making the playoffs. Oops. Despite the Ravens overspending for Joe Flacco, I still thought they had the elements that always got them to the playoffs. They didn't, and neither did the Steelers (my selection from the AFC to make the Super Bowl. Yikes.) The Bengals dominated the division. The Browns did even worse than I predicted as usual.

AFC South

Houston's incredibly disappointing year highlights this division. With a difficult schedule, many expected Indianapolis to not make the playoffs (I had them at 8-8), but they won the division. To my expectations, Tennessee did better yet still fired head coach Mike Munchak. Jacksonville did better than many expected and have some hope with new coach Gus Bradley.

AFC West

It seemed pretty easy to expect Denver to win this division and Oakland to be at the bottom. But, even with an easy schedule, I didn't expect Kansas City to start off the season 9-0 and make the playoffs. San Diego was also impressive under new head coach Mike McCoy. They were enigmatic at times, and likely could have even had a better record, but found their way into the AFC Wild Card berth.

NFC East

If there's one immediate regret that I had with my predictions, it was thinking that Washington would win this division. They seemed very set up for the wreck of the season that they did have, but the NFC East was wide open with teams that didn't look impressive. Surprisingly, first-year coach Chip Kelly led the Eagles to the title. I was correct in predicting the Cowboys at 8-8, but so was probably everyone else.

NFC North

Green Bay won the division, but not as easily as I expected, but with one of the most entertaining games of the season in a win over Chicago. As the season progressed, Detroit became a disappointment and Jim Schwartz was deservedly fired. For the foreseeable future, this still seems like Green Bay's division.

NFC West

I didn't realize it until now, but I hilariously did not include my records for the NFC West in my original post. I had Seattle winning the division and San Francisco making the playoffs, which wasn't a surprise that it happened. Though, Arizona's performance this year is worth noting, and was nice to see them in the hunt.

NFC South

With the way the season started, Carolina looked like they were preparing for another disappointing year and Ron Rivera to be fired. But, they stepped it up, and won the division with Atlanta being yet another huge disappointment that I expected to win the division. As I predicted, New Orleans did come in as a Wild Card, but it's looking less likely that they'll win the Super Bowl as I forecasted.

Now, for what I expect will be extremely wrong predictions on how these playoffs will turn out:

AFC PLAYOFFS

Indianapolis defeats Kansas City
Cincinnati defeats San Diego

Denver defeats Indianapolis
Cincinnati defeats New England

Cincinnati defeats Denver

NFC PLAYOFFS

New Orleans defeats Philadelphia
Green Bay defeats San Francisco

Seattle defeats New Orleans
Green Bay defeats Carolina

Seattle defeats Green Bay

SUPER BOWL

Seattle defeats Cincinnati

Should I stick by New Orleans? In a way, I should. But, if the road to the Super Bowl runs through Seattle, it's going to be very difficult for any team to walk in there. It's just too difficult to bet against Seattle. In recent years, there's always a team from the first weekend of games that finds their way to the Super Bowl. Despite suspect quarterback play from Andy Dalton, I'll take the risk and say that it's Cincinnati, but I do think that San Diego, New Orleans, and Green Bay have the potential to be those teams as well.

Well, I'm looking forward to my predictions going just as wrong as the season went for me.

    These frightening people get a Super Bowl?

Looking Back...The 5 Keys To The Browns Improving This Year

The Cleveland Browns ended their season in a familiar manner, losing to the Pittsburgh Steelers in a pathetic fashion to end another pathetic season with a 4-12 receord. Surprisingly, though, they ended their season exactly as they did last season by firing their head coach.

Let's take a look back at my post from September 8 on how the “5 Keys to the Browns Improving This Year” panned out this season:
  1. Brandon Weeden must become the starting quarterback.
As we know, this key to victory did not remotely happen. Weeden got injured after two lackluster games and Brian Hoyer was anointed the starter. Hoyer looked like a far better quarterback and leader in guiding the team to two straight victories before a knee injury ended his season. Weeden returned as a starter only to perform so poorly that he was benched for backup Jason Campbell. Weeden came back yet again when Campbell got injured only to receive more boos from Cleveland fans that had enough with his lowest point coming in a Jacksonville loss in which he inexplicably was responsible for three turnovers in the last three minutes of the first half. Weeden finished the season with 1,731 yards passing, 9 TD, and 9 INT, for a quarterback rating of 70.8. He's likely to be released by the team, and at the age of 30, may at best be third on a team's depth chart next year.
  1. Trent Richardson must have a 1,000 yard rushing season.
Richardson was dealt to the Indianapolis Colts for a first-round pick on September 19. At the time, it was a shocking trade that angered most Browns fans. But, Richardson's poor performance with the Colts makes the Browns look like the winners of the deal for the time being. It's still possible that Richardson could turn his career around and that the Browns pick they received in exchange could be a bust. Richardson finished the regular season with 458 yards rushing and 3 TD with a 2.9 yards per carry average. He was benched by the Colts in favor of Donald Brown.

     3.  The Browns need to have a top 15 defense.

The Browns ended the year as the number 9 ranked defense in the league. But, the numbers that determine who has the best defense in the league by the NFL's standards can be deceiving and rely solely on yards given up. Football Outsiders ranks the Browns as 24th. Their second half defense was likely even worse. The Browns were 8-6-2 in the first half of games this season.

 Chudzinski likely had a similar reaction when being handed his pink slip.
  1. No dumb coaching mistakes.
It's unclear whether Chudzinski can really be blamed for any specific miscues. Any mistakes didn't stand out as badly as Pat Shurmur's did last season. But, there were definitely major gaffes that cost the team games particularly the special teams performance in the game in Cincinnati. A coach doesn't lose seven straight games to end the season without some dumb things going on.
  1. Don't be the Cleveland Browns.
This key may be the saddest one that I wrote because, by the end of the season, the Browns were even more Browns than they have ever been. After one season, the front office fired Chudzinski, making the team seem even more dysfunctional than it has ever been since returning in 1999. By firing Chudzinski, Haslam defied the points that he made in this interview with Peter King, and chose against consistency at the head coaching position. In their press conference on the firing, Haslam and president Joe Banner regularly mentioned their determination to win. It's nice for Browns fans to have a group that claims to be passionate about winning. But, there's a fine line between the mad genius determined to win (Bill Belichick) and someone who is just plain mad in his decision making when trying to win (Daniel Snyder and Jerry Jones). Browns fans are hoping that Haslam isn't the next Daniel Snyder, but with Haslam's Pilot J scandal still lurking, an entire coaching overhaul again, and uncertainty at the quarterback and running back positions, the Browns look as lost as they have ever been. The Cleveland Browns are looking like the organizational equivalent of Dwayne Rudd's helmet throw.

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Revisiting the 2009-10 Cleveland Cavaliers

Tonight, the Miami Heat play the Cleveland Cavaliers. When the season began, the Heat were ready to begin their quest for a third straight NBA title while the Cavs were hoping to turn a corner and make a run for the playoffs. But, the season has started off the way all of the previous years have gone for each team with the Heat looking determined to win another title while the Cavs look like they are headed towards another spot in the NBA Lottery.

LeBron James was heavily criticized while in Cleveland, and has shut the mouths of most of those people by winning two titles and simply being the best basketball player on the planet. Now, the focus instead can turn to why he couldn't win titles in Cleveland. Following "The Decision," criticism went squarely back to his supporting cast, which was far different than anything provided to him while in Miami. Considering that LeBron was rebounds and Spurs' missed free throws away from losing the 2012-13 title with Dwyane Wade, Chris Bosh, Ray Allen, and a flurry of talented role players, it further cements how difficult it is to win a NBA title without a great team.

It's worth questioning then. How bad was the supporting cast for LeBron in his last year in Cleveland and how have four years away from King James treated these players?

Antawn Jamison, SF: (2009-10 highlights: 15.8 PPG, 7.7 RPG) Acquired prior to the 2010 trade deadline, Jamison was expected to be the insurance policy that would put the Cavs title hopes over the top that season. It didn't work out that way, and people will continue to second guess whether the front office should have made a bigger push to trade for Amar'e Stoudemire. Jamison led the team during the horrible 2010-11 campaign, and served the Cavs well without any complaints. He left prior to the 2012 season to join the star-studded Los Angeles Lakers. He didn't work well in Mike D'Antoni's system (neither has anyone else on that team really), and signed this past offseason with the Los Angeles Clippers.

Mo Williams, PG (2009-10 highlights: 15.8 PPG, 5.3 APG) Acquired in 2008 from the Milwaukee Bucks for Joe Smith (yikes) and Damon Jones (double yikes), Williams looked like a scoring threat that could bring up the ball and complement James. He did that to a certain extent and the biggest highlight of his time in Cleveland is shown in this great Bill Simmons column, which equally reveals how simple the Cavs offense was. Since departing the Cavs, Williams has been a serviceable point guard at best for the Los Angeles Clippers, Utah Jazz, and currently the Portland Trailblazers. The silver lining for the Cavs was that his trade to the Clippers led to their acquisition of the #1 overall pick used to take Kyrie Irving. 

Shaquille O'Neal, C (2009-10 highlights: 12.0 PPG, 6.7 RPG) Acquired prior to the 2009 season from the Phoenix Suns for Sasha Pavlovic, Ben Wallace, $500,000, and a 2010 2nd round draft pick, O'Neal was seen as the Hall of Fame post threat that could put the Cavs in the driver's seat for the title. But, it was clear O'Neal was aged and his skills had diminished. In the horrible Game 5 playoff loss to the Boston Celtics, while LeBron allegedly didn't step up, Shaq did. He had 21 points and 4 rebounds. Following LeBron's departure, O' Neal spent a season with the Celtics before retiring. 

There were a lot of laughs and title expectations prior to the 2009 season.
 
Delonte West, SG: (2009-10 highlights: 8.8 PPG, 3.3 APG) West was acquired in 2008 along with Wally Szczerbiak from the Seattle SuperSonics in exchange for Ira Newble and Donyell Marshall (talk about a trade involving the most meaningless role players). West's off the court situations trumped any effect that he had on the court over the years with the Cavs. His legal troubles, the allegations of an affair with LeBron's mother, and his bipolar disorder put him into more of a limelight than anything else. After brief stints with the Celtics and Mavericks, West is now playing basketball in China.

Anderson Varejao, PF: (2009-10 highlights: 8.6 PPG, 7.6 RPG) Varejao has been a career Cavalier and was a spark plug for the LeBron-era Cavs. He continues to be a part of the current Cavs team, but with the team's horrible play, he is constantly the subject of trade talks with his favorable contract and energetic play. Had it not been for a season-ending injury last year, Varejao may have been headed to his first All-Star appearance. He is a fan favorite, and perhaps the only person from the 2009-10 Cavs with a strong value in the NBA.

J.J. Hickson, PF: (2009-10 highlights: 8.5 PPG, 4.9 RPG) Drafted by the Cavs with the 19th overall pick in the 2008 NBA draft, Hickson proved to be a product of LeBron's success. He had his strong moments on LeBron's team, and his youth and potential upside was enough for the Cavs front office to not ship him in a potential trade with the Suns for Amar'e Stoudemire. But, once LeBron left, it was clear Hickson was not the player the Cavs thought him to be. In 2011, he was shipped to the Sacramento Kings for Omar Casspi and a conditional first-round pick. He bounced over to Portland last year and is now currently part of the Denver Nuggets. With an injury to JaVale McGee, Hickson has been getting increased playing time. He is averaging 10.3 points and 8.8 rebounds per game this season.

Zydrunas Ilgauskas, C: (2009-10 highlights: 7.4 PPG, 5.4 RPG) Beloved by Cleveland fans since being drafted by the Cavs in 1996, by 2010, Ilgauskas was aged, but still capable of having an impact by being a big man with a good outside shot. Paired with O'Neal, it didn't lead to a championship for the Cavs. Ilgauskas also departed for the Heat, but retired before Miami's championship run. The Cavs will retire Ilgauskas's jersey number this season.

Anthony Parker, SF: (2009-10 highlights: 7.3 PPG, 2.9 RPG) Parker joined the Cavs as a free agent in 2009 to be another role player for a championship run. Parker likely accomplished what he was brought in to do, but his role at times was more significant than it likely should have been on a championship contender. He remained on the team following LeBron's departure, and announced his retirement in 2012. He is now a scout for the Orlando Magic.
 
Daniel Gibson, PG: (2009-10 highlights: 6.3 PPG, .447 3-PT pct.) Gibson was the darling of the Cleveland Cavaliers' 2007 playoff run. After James left, he posted a career high 11.6 PPG on the horrible 2010-11 team. How meaningless was Gibson from 2010-2013 for the Cavs? Wikipedia doesn't even have any biographical information for him over those years. “Boobie” is currently a free agent. However, he is drawing bigger news as of late for reports of his marriage falling apart and a summer arrest.

Jamario Moon, SF: (2009-10 highlights: 4.9 PPG, 3.1 RPG) Moon was acquired by the Cavs as a free agent in 2009. He played a mostly insignificant role on the LeBron-led Cavs. He was dealt along with Mo Williams to the Clippers as part of the Baron Davis deal. He is currently in the NBA D-League.

Others who appeared on the roster included Jawad Williams (now playing in Paris), Leon Powe (already with a serious knee injury at the time with the Cavs, he has since retired to work in some capacity in sports business), Cedric Jackson (currently playing in Slovenia), Darnell Jackson (currently playing in China) and most notably Danny Green (significant contributor to the San Antonio Spurs that nearly knocked off the Heat last year).

LeBron's supporting cast has amassed zero All-Star appearances since he left the team. More of the players have retired or played internationally or in the D-League than have made a significant impact on any NBA roster. Arguably, the most successful player has been Green, who got the lowest amount of playing time when on the team.

In 2010, fans and pundits were convinced that LeBron James could take this team to a NBA title. They impressively (and perhaps surprisingly) finished with a 61-21 record to earn the #1 seed in the NBA Eastern Conference. But, championships are won by supporting casts as much as they are won by superstars. As time has shown, the criticism was right. LeBron didn't have the teammates to win the title. He found those teammates (along with his prime) in Miami.

LeBron's decision will always leave a sour taste in the mouths of Cleveland fans. But, none of his supporting casts could remotely compare to what has been provided to him by Pat Riley and the Heat organization. And, with the current state of the Cavs, the idea that LeBron would come back to the team via free agency seems like a fantasy as far fetched as a championship during his time with the team.

Saturday, September 14, 2013

Why I Don't Care About The Buckeyes and The NCAA Anymore

(This post was originally written two weeks ago, and was supposed to be released prior to Ohio State's first game of the season. When it wasn't completed in time, I chose not to post it. However, in the wake of Sports Illustrated's profile of Oklahoma State's program and Yahoo! Sports' recent report on SEC programs, it only added fuel to the flame. Dan Wetzel is referenced in the post, and his column on the subject hit the nail on the head generally better than what I wrote below).

I was born in Cleveland. When it came to college football, if you wanted to cheer for the sport, you only had one option: the Ohio State Buckeyes. The Cleveland State Vikings had no football team, and unless you had a family connection to another Ohio college, there was absolutely no reason for your football allegiance to not bleed scarlet and grey. I remember as a kid that I would follow the same format. I'd tune in to watch the Ohio State game and see Eddie George scamper for touchdowns on ABC followed by a local high school quiz show called Academic Challenge and the state lottery game show, Cash Explosion. My fall Saturdays were highly entertaining even if Ohio State wasn't the best team in the country.

At that time, fans were fully aware of the NCAA's rules, but they often disregarded it. They turned a blind eye to it mostly because there was no reason to pay attention to it. The only scandal that I can recall from that era was Gene Stallings's Alabama team, and that did not seem to get the type of national media attention that it would today. As fans, we accepted that players got full scholarships, and that a free education was a proper reward for whatever they did on the field.

With the advent of the Bowl Championship Series, things started to change. In Death to the BCS, written by Dan Wetzel (in my opinion, the best current sports columnist), Josh Peter, and Jeff Passan, the authors detail the level of greed and lack of logic behind the system that determines the national champion in college football. The bowl system relies on its supposed history and prestige to be appealing to schools and their fans, but the reality is that it only lines the pockets of conference commissioners and bowl leadership. Over the years of the BCS, it's become clear: the people at the top will not allow anything to stop them from making as much money as possible.

When it comes to being an Ohio State fan, everything turned with the notorious and annoyingly named “Tattoo-gate.” It was one thing to be exposed by reports, but now the NCAA had no choice but to investigate and make an example of the Buckeyes based off their rules for student athletes. The ordeal cost coach Jim Tressel his job, even though Tressel probably did the same actions (or lack thereof) that most NCAA head coaches would have done in the situation he was placed in. With the opportunity to provide appropriate punishment based off their rules, the NCAA instead gave the players involved in “Tattoo-gate” an out and allowed them to play in the Sugar Bowl that year. For any Buckeyes fan with decency towards rules and logic, that game left a sour taste in one's mouth. The NCAA wasn't even truly standing behind the rules that they established. They were looking at what was best for their product. They were looking at the money, and as usual, the Louisiana Superdome was packed with fans from both Ohio State and Arkansas.

College football got even more complicated and disturbing with the Jerry Sandusky revelations at Penn State. The subsequent investigation ultimately brought down the reputation of head coach Joe Paterno. With that, it also allowed us to examine how we look at college football as fans and what it means to us. We often put college football on a pedestal of history and appreciation. We prop up coaches like Paul “Bear” Bryant, Woody Hayes, and Paterno, even though all had their own faults and legacies affected. Yet, they supposedly created great players and greater men and were an ideal for all people in sports to attempt to reach.

The best coaches in the game are not far off from their predecessors. Under the guise that they are positive role models, they still are fearless in the recruiting process and the money generation that is involved in college sports. Nick Saban acknowledged that he would rather be out recruiting than coaching in the national championship game. Urban Meyer, who has a cloud of criticism regarding his past recruiting actions, allegedly reported on his former school, Florida, for an infraction. The best coaches don't seem like good guys. But, winning still cements one's legacy in college football over the success of any player as an individual, a human being, or a scholar. The best coaches know how to coach football, but they also know how to work in a system that's more about big business than it is about what college is actually supposed to be about. 

My reaction to the NCAA is not far off from Urban Meyer's face here.

The Johnny Manziel case highlighted just how far things have gone. The NCAA punished Manziel for a half for allegedly selling his signatures for money, a clear NCAA violation. Unless the evidence was right in their face, the NCAA would not have done anything anyway. Manziel is money. He needs to be on the football field. The fact that the NCAA punished him for a half (an unheard of punishment prior to this announcement) furthers just how much the organization insults its fans. They know they have the swagger to enforce their rules in any way that they see fit and that their fans will seemingly accept it.

The hypocrisy towards their own rules has reached such a level that it has ultimately tarnished how I interact with collegiate sports, particularly football. It would be one thing if the NCAA did not allow players to earn any money beyond their scholarship, did thorough investigations of such possibilities, and then enforced those rules properly. Instead, they need the media, whistleblowers, and other such sources to put these issues in front of their faces. Even then, they only punish based off what is best for their product and what will produce them the most money. It's frustrating and insulting to its fan base. By going to games or purchasing collegiate apparel, it feels as if one is lining the pockets of people on Wall Street in 2013 who were directly responsible for causing the financial crisis in 2008.

When I bring up my issues with college sports with friends, they often point to professional sports and their recent issues that have tainted their games from the Alex Rodriguez/Ryan Braun PED scandal in baseball to the Aaron Hernandez trial in football. With professional sports, there comes a certain level of greed, crime, and immoral behavior that come to be accepted by its fans. The main difference is the word, “professional.” These individuals are being paid hefty amounts to do these sports as a job. They get a piece of the pie when it comes to the use of their likeness, jersey sales, and the monetary success that can be gained from their name. Their negative actions receive punishment from their organizations and draw attention from the public that will forever shape their legacy, but it doesn't have an effect on how much they have already generated in earnings from being who they are as professional athletes.

The current Ed O'Bannon case has the potential to open up many doors for student athletes. But, it also will generate far more issues as well. People will debate over how athletes will get paid, if the lower budget sports programs will get sacrificed, and so many other factors if O'Bannon and the rest of the plaintiffs in the case are victorious. I have every belief that they will be victorious, but I also have every belief that the NCAA will find ways for new rules to never truly be enacted properly and for its hypocrisy to continue.

With conference realignment, lack of proper enforcement of its own rules, and an overall approach that shows that money matters over an appreciation for the game, it's hard to be a fan of the NCAA. Personally, I've had enough. As good as the Ohio State Buckeyes will be this year, I won't really be keeping on top of what they are doing. I'll go out to watch games if it's an event that my friends would like to do. I'll still support them from afar since they are still a part of my sports make-up. But, it's hard to really care about wins or losses when you know that the only people that keep winning are the millionaires in suits at conference offices just trying to squeeze out more and more money at the sacrifice of logic and fair play for their student athletes and fans.

Sunday, September 8, 2013

5 Keys to The Browns Improving This Year

The Cleveland Browns season begins today. As Browns fans eagerly await today's game against the Miami Dolphins at the newly named FirstEnergy Stadium, I've compiled my five keys to the Browns improving this year (also known as the five ways to keep Browns fans sane this year). 
  1. Brandon Weeden must becoming the starting quarterback.
Though the organization gave Weeden the thumbs up that he is the starter for Week 1, he is still on a short leash. He likely has the first four weeks of the season to prove himself. In this four weeks, he must show three important traits: leadership, a positive TD-INT ratio, and wins. All three of these traits don't have to be accomplished, but if after four weeks, Weeden has shown poise, has 9 TD, 4 INT, and the Browns are 2-2, we will have no problem anointing Weeden as the starter for the rest of the season and the “future of the Browns” (at least, the relative future as Weeden is about to turn 30). If Weeden shows any consistent signs of the type of play fans saw from him last season or during the preseason game against the Colts, the Browns have immediately taken a step back. Weeden is now a wasted first-round pick and the Browns are back to the drawing board in trying to find a long-term, consistent solution at the quarterback position. Weeden must show that he is a formidable starter in the NFL otherwise the Browns will continue to be haunted by another quarterback change.
  1. Trent Richardson must have a 1,000 yard rushing season.
Richardson rushed for 950 yards last season even while having a broken rib injury. With a much better offensive system in place, Richardson seems poised to get a 1,000 yard rushing season. But, this is still the Cleveland Browns, and Richardson is certainly susceptible to injury with his aggressive running style and willingness to grind for extra yardage. Richardson also must thrive in receiving yards, which should be accomplished in Norv Turner's offensive system.

      3.  The Browns need to be a top 15 defense.

The Browns defenses have consistently been terrible since their return in 1999. It didn't matter who the personnel or the coordinator was, there never has been a season where the defense was considered threatening to opponents in the league, which is sad considering the history of intimidating defenses that Cleveland once had. With Ray Horton aboard as the coordinator, players are excited at the packages and blitzes being mixed in. However, with real questions in the secondary, there may be some growing pains for this defense regardless. Or, we may be in store for another year of a defense ranked in the 20s in the league.
  1. No dumb coaching mistakes.
The Pat Shurmur coaching era in Cleveland was marked by numerous dumb coaching errors. Since the Browns usually lost, Shurmur was second-guessed on many of his decisions. However, in some cases, there were a lot of dumb mistakes leading to unnecessary timeouts being used and poor play calling (remember, we did a running play to tight end Alex Smith). In his first year, Rob Chudzinski needs to avoid these situations at all costs otherwise he will begin to hear it from Cleveland fans and media. With balanced coordinators like Turner and Horton calling plays on both sides of the ball, it gives far more hope that such mistakes won't happen.

     5.  Don't be the Cleveland Browns.

You know what I mean. The Browns find amazing ways to lose and look illogical in the process. The Browns have had only one opening-day win since they returned to the league in 1999. A victory in a winnable game against the Miami Dolphins will put this new organization and coaching staff in the right direction with fans. Please, no more moments like this one.

Thursday, September 5, 2013

NFL Season Predictions

The NFL is a fickle place, particularly when it comes to prognosticating its upcoming season. It's hard to tell which teams will turn out great and which ones with high expectations will bottom out. Though it's the best league to bet on individual games as the season progresses, it's rather difficult to determine who the Super Bowl winner will be. It takes a combination of presumptions on how a team did in the previous year with what their offseason may have produced for this season. In this era of parity, it's hard to believe that the same teams will return again to the Super Bowl. Nevertheless, I quickly put together my outcome of how the season will turn out with game-by-game selections of each week. Here are my predictions that will probably amount to nothing as we wait for tonight's season opener:

AFC EAST

New England 11-5
Miami 7-9
Buffalo 4-12
New York Jets 4-12

AFC NORTH

Pittsburgh 10-6
Baltimore 10-6
Cincinnati 9-7
Cleveland 7-9

AFC SOUTH

Houston 9-7
Indianapolis 8-8
Tennessee 6-10
Jacksonville 3-13

AFC WEST

Denver 12-4
Kansas City 8-8
San Diego 6-10
Oakland 4-12

NFC EAST

Washington 11-5
New York Giants 9-7
Dallas 8-8
Philadelphia 7-9

NFC NORTH

Green Bay 12-4
Detroit 9-7
Chicago 9-7
Minnesota 4-12

NFC SOUTH

Atlanta 12-4
New Orleans 10-6
Carolina 8-8
Tampa Bay 6-10

AFC PLAYOFFS

Baltimore defeats Houston
Pittsburgh defeats Cincinnati

Denver defeats Baltimore
Pittsburgh defeats New England

Pittsburgh defeats Denver

NFC PLAYOFFS

New Orleans defeats Green Bay
Washington defeats Seattle

New Orleans defeats Atlanta
San Francisco defeats Washington

New Orleans defeats San Francisco

SUPER BOWL

New Orleans defeats Pittsburgh

Why not dream of Roger Goodell handing the Vince Lombardi trophy to the Saints organization?

Drew Brees celebrates his second Super Bowl title.

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

Josh Cribbs: Forever A Brown

Three former Cleveland Browns players likely at the end of their careers were released by their respective teams yesterday. The New York Jets cut Braylon Edwards, the Washington Redskins did the same with Donte’ Stallworth, and the Oakland Raiders let go of Joshua Cribbs. Edwards and Stallworth will likely have no place in Browns lore. Edwards pushed his way out the door (both with Browns fans and members of LeBron James’s entourage) and Stallworth inexplicably is not still in prison. But, Cribbs was the polar opposite to Browns fans.

Terry Pluto wrote an excellent column on Cribbs following his release. It details just how hard Cribbs worked to get on the team and the sacrifices he took to his body on his way to three Pro Bowl appearances as a special teamer during his tenure with the Browns. It was this type of work ethic that won him over with Browns fans.

Since 1999, the Browns haven’t lived up to the legacy that they established prior to their move. There has been a general disconnect between the team’s carousel of front offices and the fan base. Of the mountain of players that have come through the Berea training facility, only Cribbs and Phil Dawson have been admired at the level of players from the 1980s Browns teams. That’s because Cribbs and Dawson got it. They understood that the Browns were about being a community. They understood that the fans liked hard work, putting the team and city first, and laying their absolute best out on to the field. While the rest of the league’s fans laughed at the Browns faithful gushing over a couple special teamers, Clevelanders were just happy that someone understood them and played their hearts out for them on Sunday.

Cribbs played his heart out for teams that didn’t even deserve that. At best, a return specialist on a better team and functioning organization, Cribbs did that along with being a gunner on special teams, a second/deep threat wide receiver, and a potential quarterback in the Wildcat offense. Such use led to some scary moments and potential major injuries, and yet, as Pluto’s article points out, Cribbs only missed two games in the last seven years. He was this generation’s Eric Metcalf for Browns fans, an entertaining lightning rod overused at a position he wouldn’t play on any other team in the league.

Time may have run out on Cribbs’s athletic career. The Raiders, an organization that could play the game, “Who’s More Dysfunctional?” with the Browns over the past several years, released him, which likely means there won’t be much of a market for a special teamer with diminished skills. This is the time for the current Browns organization to reach out to Cribbs with an understanding of what he means for this community. Plenty of former Browns players have been welcomed back, and if it interests Cribbs, he should be offered some type of position in the organization that stresses his social and communal strengths that made him so loved by Clevelanders.

Cleveland is a loyal city. It loves the people that have been faithful to them (Bernie Kosar), and are even forgiving of the ones who brought great memories and left (Jim Thome). If his career is over and there isn’t a place for Cribbs on any other roster, there will always be a place for him in Cleveland. It’s time to bring #16 back home.