Saturday, February 16, 2013

The Curious Case of Joe Flacco

As the free agency period begins in the NFL, the hottest topic is Super Bowl winning quarterback Joe Flacco and his potential for a big payday and departure from the champion Baltimore Ravens. Much talk has been made of Peter King's recent Monday Morning Quarterback in which he mentions the idea of the Cleveland Browns, Buffalo Bills, or Arizona Cardinals swooping in to snag Flacco and make him the wealthiest player in the NFL. As a Browns fan, my ears perked up. But, with enough evaluation, it's easy to see that the best situation for Joe Flacco is to remain a Baltimore Raven, and the funny thing is there really shouldn't be a market for Flacco at the price that he is looking for other than his current team. 
 
Let's look at Joe Flacco by the numbers. The statistics show an efficient quarterback, and one that had the ability to lead the talented team that surrounded him to the playoffs every season. What took Flacco above and beyond this year was his playoff performance. He took the criticism that he had been receiving from the media and fans, stared it down, and defeated it with an impressive 11 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and the type of intangible leadership that creates a championship quarterback.

But, beyond his playoff performance, there's nothing in five years of being at the helm of the Ravens offense that indicates that Flacco should be the highest paid quarterback in the league. Simply put, if the Ravens don't win the Super Bowl, are we even having this discussion about Joe Flacco?

It's strange, but I think of two moments when I associate the best and the worst of Joe Flacco this season, and both connect to the Denver Broncos. In Week 15, the Ravens (in their first game with new offensive coordinator Jim Caldwell) faced off against the hot Broncos. Already down 10-0 in the first half, the Ravens were poised to score a touchdown when Flacco threw an out route that was picked off for a 98-yard touchdown return. A dejected Flacco buried his head into the grass following his missed tackle on the return. It was a momentum changer that cemented the Broncos as the presumed AFC favorite and led the Ravens to feel like the wheels were falling off. This was the Joe Flacco that fans were used to. He was a quarterback that had potential, but never seemed like he would take it to the next level to be the cream of the crop in the NFL.

Fast forward to the fourth quarter of the divisional round game against the Broncos and the Ravens are likely on their way out of the playoffs until Flacco heaves a bomb to Jacoby Jones for a game-tying touchdown. So now, we have to wonder if safety Rahim Moore does not completely fall asleep on this play, are we even having this discussion about Joe Flacco?

This is f***in' awesome!

In his column, King is correct in that Flacco is at his peak earning potential. But, it doesn't mean that his peak earning potential should be the highest salary in the league nor that the market needs to cater to that potential. Particularly, if the Ravens do see a desperate team handing the type of money that King mentions in his column to Flacco, they should let him go. It is an amount of money that can paralyze a team's salary cap for a quarterback that has not shown that he could impact a game on his own. The Ravens owe it to Flacco to sit down and have a discussion, and of course want to keep their quarterback, but not at the sacrifice of their organization. General manager Ozzie Newsome is smart enough to realize that.

Where smart goes out the window is with desperate teams like the ones mentioned by King, but these are teams that do have to be smart if they want to see any future success. For personal reasons, I'll address the Browns first and the ideas brought up by King. King states that the signing of Flacco would lead to “a shot of adrenalin” for the team. This is the type of emotional effect that should have no bearing on how a team runs their business. The “free agent splash” is an overrated and ineffective approach to bettering a team. If there are signs that the free agent in question would not be a particular fit for the organization, the move is only being done to cater to a fan base or to make some type of emotional move, which based off King's evaluation, are the only reasons behind why the Browns would sign Flacco. It would be “sweet irony” to steal the Super Bowl-winning quarterback from the city that stole the Browns. Perhaps that's true, but what's the point if Flacco doesn't pan out or improve the team? Now, Ravens fans continue to laugh at Cleveland's misery while the team's salary cap is shot and future affected as two first-round draft picks are given up. Sure, the Browns need a quarterback as they always have. But, it's better to take the components already in place and work with them while continuing to build through the draft than to sell it all away on a player whose riding his market value high and statistically not enough backs him up as being deserving of that price.

Buffalo or Arizona could get crazy as well. The idea of a legitimate quarterback throwing to Larry Fitzgerald again is appealing, and if there's any team that I could see as being reasonable in throwing out that much money to Flacco, it's Arizona. It's clear the quarterback position entirely hindered their ability to be a playoff team. But, for any other organization in the league interested in upgrading at quarterback, it's out of line. It's a roll of the dice unless you have a strong enough supporting cast to hop aboard with Flacco's arm and leadership ability that did show in the playoffs.

When it comes down to it, Joe Flacco is like the player who comes out of nowhere to lead his team to the Final Four and ultimately shoots himself up the board on NBA Draft night as a result. Flacco had a great playoffs. He entirely changed the way fans look at him as a quarterback and determine his ability as a leader and performer. But, can you really say he's worth five years, $110 million based off four weeks of seeing a completely different quarterback than one we've seen for five seasons?

It's a hard sell, and it's why the only reasonable destination for Flacco is Baltimore. He obviously wants to stay. He obviously wants to earn as much money as possible. Baltimore wants to keep him, and will be ready to pay him to whatever extent is possible. Flacco could depart to another city, but it would be a huge sacrifice to that team's future and salary cap. Can Flacco do what Peyton Manning did this past year for another team? Does he have that type of impact?

The numbers and the games show it's not likely unless a team has as talented a supporting cast as Baltimore created for the past five seasons. Once again, Joe Flacco has something to prove, but at least he may be the highest paid player in the league while he's doing it.

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